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NOAA scientists says we may have more of these this season than they earlier predicted.
Photo: NOAA
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by Larry Spilman
NON-DATELINED -- Government scientists are now saying the hurricane season which began in June will be a little more active than they earlier predicted.
Dr. Gerry Bell-- the lead seasonal forecaster at National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration's Climate Prediction Center-- today updated their May prognostication.
"The likelihood for an above normal season has increased to 35 percent compared to what we had issued in May," Dr. Bell said. "and the likelihood of a below normal season has decreased to only a 15 percent chance."
We've already had 4 hurricanes and two storms.
"For the remainder of the season, we can expect to see an additional 6-11 named storms, of which 3-6 are expected to become hurricanes and 2-3 are expected to become major hurricanes."
Dr. Bell says the factors leading them to believe it'll be a more active season than they earlier thought are favorable wind patterns, warmer-than-expected sea surface temperatures and El Nino only suppressing storm formation late in the season which runs through the end of November.
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